Deciphering the Meaning of Election 1995

View this article at The Weekly Standard

Maybe we should call it Newt’s Revenge: Colin Powell announcing the day after the 1995 elections in no uncertain terms that he is Republican and that his future lies with the Republican party. From his new party’s point of view, Powell’s timing was perfect. It dissipated most of the talk of the electoral results, and truth to tell, the GOP was delighted to change the subject.

Republican expectations for 1995 were sky-high. Although the number of races in this off-year wasn’t significant, or the races all that interesting, Republicans were hoping for and even expecting results that would establish 1995 as a continuation of 1994’s Slaughter of the Democrats. As the Kentucky governor’s race goes, so goes the nation: Realignment, ho!

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Clinton Goes Blue Dog

View this article at The Weekly Standard

WITH LITTLE FANFARE, THE WHITE HOUSE, in the person of Chief of Staff Leon Panetta, took another step in the direction of the GOP budget last week. He allowed as how a budget package offered by conservative House Democrats — the 20-odd group that has dubbed itself the Blue Dog Coalition — might form the basis for negotiations on a final package with Republicans.

It’s an interesting adventure in Budgetville. Not that anyone paid much attention, but for a couple of hours before the Republican budget bill passed the House on Oct. 26, there actually was a serious budget debate on the floor between full-blown competing alternatives.

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Bedfellow Bob

View this article at The Weekly Standard

FOR MONTHS, REPUBLICANS on Capitol Hill complained that “their” Congressional Budget Office wasn’t behaving. The CBO had long been a COP bete noire, subject to constant accusations from the right that its supposedly independent studies were cooked for the benefit of the Democrats in charge of the House and Senate. The new Republican Congress was supposed to effect major ideological changes in the CBO, now under the management of June O’Neill. But O’Neill’s CBO has been a disappointment for many; it has refused, for example, to support claims that a cut in the capital-gains tax will actually increase the amount of tax money in government coffers.

So a sigh of relief flooded Capitol Hill last week when the CBO decided to ” score” the GOP’s Medicare reform proposals the way the House leadership wanted them scored (and needed the CBO to score them). The COP needs $ 270 billion in savings over the next seven years to balance the budget, and party leaders believe their Medicare plan does just that.

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Beware Magazinerism: Republicans and Taxes

The Weekly Standard

The chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee was among friends the evening of June 5, 1995, when he invited a small group of like-minded conservatives to his office in the Cannon building to talk taxes. One of those in attendance at Rep. Bill Archer’s soiree might have been more libertarian than the others, another more of a monetarist than a supply-sider, but everyone present agreed on the basics. No one was there to discuss raising taxes to reduce the deficit, thank you very much. Nobody wanted to figure out how government could do more for people, or how to add funds to the enforcement budget of the Internal Revenue Service in order to improve ” voluntary compliance” with the tax code. No. What was under discussion was how to change all that — the Big Picture of conservative, Republican tax reform.

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Republicans Are Being Eaten Alive in Oversight Hearings

Insight

For 12 years the Democratic Congress showed no mercy in its relentless hounding of officials from the Reagan and Bush administrations on matters great and small. Every day, the office of this and the bureau of that received letters from Democratic members of Congress demanding thousands of pages of documents. And Ronald Reagan himself directed in an executive order that all officials in the executive branch comply promptly with all requests from any member of Congress – with a couple of exceptions relating to national security and ongoing executive-branch investigations.

So off went the Reagan-Bush documents by the truckload. And off marched the officials by the score, each to his lonely place under the klieg lights at a small table facing an amphitheater of dour members of Congress – many of whom hoped to derive not only political gain but also personal satisfaction from the torture they were about to inflict.

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Jim Wright’s Wrongs

The American Spectator

In the torn-up note found in his briefcase after he turned up dead, an apparent suicide, Vince Foster offered this parting reflection on life in official Washington: “Here, ruining people is considered sport.” We do not know if Foster considered himself already ruined, or was worried about someone ruining him. We do know, though, that the ranks of the ruined in Washington are legion. And every day, there are some–in Congress, in the press, in advocacy groups, in public-policy non-profits–who dream about the next ruination.

Most of these dreams today center around Newt Gingrich. Ethics complaints about the Speaker are seemingly endless, and there is a delicious irony in the fact that it was Gingrich who launched the unrelenting, incendiary ethics attacks on Jim Wright, one of his predecessors. Wright’s ignominious resignation of the speakership in 1989 marked the start, in a way, of Gingrich’s meteoric rise–so it would be good sport if the same kinds of charges brought Gingrich down as well. That $4 million book deal, for example–how could that fail to remind us of Jim Wright’s own book deal, one of the central points in the ethics charges that brought him down?

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All Groups Must Pull Together to Raise the GOP’s Big Tent

Insight

Shortly after the fulfillment of the Republican “Contract With America,” I spoke on a panel assessing the first 100 days of the 104th Congress. The gathering was a Washington meeting of charter members of GOPAC, the Republican candidate-recruitment and training organization closely associated with House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

The charter members, as you might expect, are heavy contributors to the organization, which deserves a substantial measure of credit for the success over the years not only of GOP congressional candidates but also of Republican candidates at the state level. The GOP has done an extraordinary job of recruiting more and better-qualified candidates for office in recent years and providing them with ammunition on how best to get their message out; GOPAC has been central to that effort.

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Dear Dad, Love Tod

Insight

Dear Dad,

I have no special insight into the question of what’s inherited vs. what’s acquired by virtue of environment, but I note with interest that one of the major traits you and I share is a reticence, bordering on uncommunicativeness, about ourselves.

This is perhaps odd, given that I make my living putting my views on paper, and given your second career, so to speak, as an epistolarian. About those letters, memoirs, notes and more: I can think of nothing I’d rather have from Abby and Molly’s grandfather for them in the years to come – nothing, that is, except for Grandpa himself. But, as you said on the phone a couple of days ago, when you were having a better day than the one before, “there’s nowhere to go.”

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How the Ethics Prism Shifts When Democrats Are Suspect

Insight

Curse the Whitewater investigation of independent counsel Kenneth W. Starr, curse and fie. Starr apparently has contrived to ensure that his prosecutors do not leak any details of the inquiry to the press. It reminds me of one of the great moments during the briefings of the Persian Gulf War. A reporter asked Pete Williams, the Pentagon spokesman, about the use of air-launched cruise missiles. Coolly leaving no possibility of reporters’ misunderstanding just how secret they are, Williams said that the Pentagon did not discuss the use of air-launched cruise missiles. The reporter asked why the Pentagon wouldn’t discuss it. Williams explained that he couldn’t say, because that would be discussing it.

Something like that. It all seems rather unfair. The Iran-Contra investigation of independent counsel Lawrence Walsh leaked like a sieve, for example. One of the lawyers, after leaving the team, even wrote a book about his exploits while Walsh’s investigation was still going on. The Friday before the 1992 presidential election, the Walsh team filed court papers describing a supposedly damning diary entry by President Bush, and the Democratic National Committee had a press release out denouncing the president faster than you could say, “We were tipped off yesterday.” Walsh’s final report is chockablock full of quotations from supposedly secret grand-jury testimony – a highly tendentious use of that testimony, of course, not that we have been allowed to see the rest of it to assess how badly it was wrenched out of context in the service of Walsh’s conspiracy theories.

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Morally Bankrupt Cronies of Clinton Rob Peter to Pay Paul

Insight

The Clinton administration seems poised for a bid for the title of “Most Concurrently Running Investigations by Independent Counsels.” Given President-elect Clinton’s boast that his was going to be the most honest and ethical administration in history – and thus stand in sharp contrast to the heinous ethics of the Reagan and Bush administrations, as well as the generally heinous displays of avarice during the Decade of Greed – the Clinton follies are rather amusing. Especially the extent to which money, the mere grubbing for filthy lucre, is at the center of them.

Now, of the seven deadly sins – pride, covetousness, lust, anger, gluttony, envy and sloth – I have generally found “lust” to be the one that provokes the funniest behavior.

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